Any Baccarat or Craps system should consist of two parts: a bet selection method and a money management system.
Betting selection is defined as the process of selecting the winning decision (player or banker) in baccarat or (to pass or not to check) in craps. There are many methods preferred by experienced players. Some like to follow the shoe in baccarat or the roll in the dice. By this we mean that the player bets the same as the previous decision. Another favorite method of choosing which side to bet on is the decision before the end. Pattern recognition saddens many players in their search for attractive patterns. The streak game has been the result of many systems in the game of baccarat.
Baccarat seems to offer the greatest hope to those inclined to mathematics. Since the game is played with a shoe that is generally not re-shuffled until a game of baccarat has been concluded. The mathematical types declare that there is dependency in the game of baccarat. Dependency means that when the first half of the baccarat shoe is played, you need to determine the composition of the second half of the baccarat shoe. So we should be able to develop some house edge in the second half of the shoe, as we already know what cards have been played in the first half of the shoe (of course we would have to follow up in some way to know this) . . Card counting, pioneered and used successfully in blackjack, was tried in baccarat. The result was slightly positive but very disappointing, as the player’s advantage was very, very slight. My advice on baccarat card counting; don’t waste your time, it won’t work.
Other methods of extracting “dependency” from the game of baccarat have been explored. Dr. S.H. Johnson conducted extensive computer research using large baccaratcasino.games volumes of live baccarat data. He studied thousands of recurring patterns in relation to the domain of the shoe (banker or player) at the time the pattern occurred. He was able to extract an advantage only slightly smaller than that created by card counting in blackjack. Dr. Johnson advises that the practical limitation of this baccarat strategy is the very rare occurrence of betting opportunities. This exhausted the patience of the casinos when he took out two-thirds of a shoe before placing his advantageous game. The game required very large stakes and a large amount of funds to generate a modest profit. The good doctor concluded that the strategy was more of a moral victory than a practical solution to gain an advantage in the game of baccarat.
Some players take a unique approach based on the continuity of the numbers in a game of negative expectations such as the game of baccarat or the game of dice. The continuity of the concept of numbers behind this approach is demonstrated every time we analyze the data on the main frame computer. This is not to say that the concept gives you foolproof gameplay. Here is the basic idea. Let’s say we went to the casino with a group of researchers and recorded every roll of the dice at the craps table 24/7 for 6 months. That would be equal to thousands of dice rolls. Just for discussion, let’s say 6 months of continuous recording represents 650,000 rolls or decisions. Now let’s say an individual investigator lives to be 102 and for 80 years of his life he went to the casino every day of his life. Every day he recorded 10 minutes of dice rolls at the craps table (not even at the same table every day!). Let’s say for our little discussion, that the 80 years of 10 minutes a day produced the number of decisions, the same 650,000 that the group of researchers made 24/7 in 6 months.
Let’s take both sets of data and enter our computer. The computer will analyze the data against the mathematical model of the game. Let’s take a good look at the distribution of the pattern, the occurrence of numbers, and all the percentages. Okay, calculate the casino advantage over the player (ie pass the 1.42% line, don’t pass 1.40%, etc.). The computer shakes for a few minutes and spits out the two reports; Report 1- the “24/7 for 6-month data” and Report 2- the “10 minutes per day for 80-year data”. What do you think the difference will be? ANY!! That’s right, the stats and the numbers will be the same.
Well what can we learn from this? As players, we play only one great game of dice and one great game of baccarat (if those are your games) in our lifetime. You form a continuity of numbers that throughout the life of your game will always try to adjust to the morphology of the game or the mathematical distribution. At any given time, various aspects (patterns and numbers) will be deviated from their normal mathematical distribution in the game. For example, let’s say that in our lifetime game we’ve played 1,000,000 hands of baccarat. We know this because we record all those suckers on score cards and enter them into our computer after each game session. [professionals call this procedure “cataloging your game”]